Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.126703 0.135641 0.144974 0.155462 0.166938 0.179137 0.193110
2025-09-28 0.107039 0.119975 0.134301 0.151423 0.171434 0.194209 0.222273
2025-10-05 0.097582 0.113382 0.131715 0.154751 0.183193 0.217515 0.262615
2025-10-12 0.090225 0.107883 0.129157 0.157009 0.193014 0.238697 0.302217
2025-10-19 0.083230 0.101845 0.124966 0.156280 0.198353 0.254076 0.335486
2025-10-26 0.077712 0.097002 0.121603 0.155929 0.203661 0.269387 0.369908
2025-11-02 0.072546 0.092101 0.117611 0.154136 0.206486 0.281119 0.400107
2025-11-09 0.067149 0.086453 0.112113 0.149659 0.204870 0.285969 0.420053
2025-11-16 0.062972 0.082139 0.108072 0.146801 0.205164 0.293397 0.444569
2025-11-23 0.059389 0.078397 0.104532 0.144313 0.205649 0.300940 0.469884
2025-11-30 0.057350 0.076664 0.103680 0.145640 0.211954 0.318083 0.513497
2025-12-07 0.053977 0.072835 0.099554 0.141692 0.209546 0.320650 0.531343
2025-12-14 0.050362 0.068541 0.094599 0.136276 0.204562 0.318781 0.541495
2025-12-21 0.047644 0.065438 0.091267 0.133210 0.203243 0.323163 0.564352
2025-12-28 0.046684 0.064874 0.091710 0.136148 0.212202 0.346520 0.628104
2026-01-04 0.045548 0.063977 0.091571 0.138101 0.219591 0.367772 0.691050
2026-01-11 0.043899 0.062210 0.089969 0.137494 0.222362 0.380583 0.737903
2026-01-18 0.042440 0.060663 0.088619 0.137199 0.225629 0.394635 0.789850
2026-01-25 0.040820 0.058786 0.086639 0.135677 0.226474 0.403898 0.832139
2026-02-01 0.038830 0.056244 0.083462 0.131871 0.222699 0.403316 0.850382
2026-02-08 0.037245 0.054283 0.081143 0.129438 0.221363 0.407665 0.881745
2026-02-15 0.035821 0.052520 0.079070 0.127319 0.220459 0.412807 0.916035
2026-02-22 0.035108 0.051871 0.078812 0.128450 0.226039 0.432606 0.993282